Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Confusing Forecast

The storms yesterday produced a ton of severe weather in the northeast part of the country. Most of this was wind damage, and there were no reports of tornadoes. We did actually have a few reports of hail in Mississippi in Lawrence county and also Hinds county. There is also a moderate risk for severe storms in parts of Kansas, Nebraska, and Iowa once again today as a cold front begins to move though that part of the country today. This front will really begin to affect our area by this weekend, but I don't think we'll be looking at the kind of severe weather that they will probably see.

Today, we could see some storms roughtly from about McComb to about Columbus and southeast of that line. Still a pretty warm day out there today also as highs get up to around 90 and the low only gets down to around 69 overnight. Tomorrow looks like we could actually be dry for the most part, and the highs will once again get up into the lower 90's. Friday is a little confusing to me because it looks to me like we'll be dry for the day on Friday, and then a good chance of rain for Saturday and Sunday as that front pushes through. The National Weather Service, however, has Friday with about a 60% chance of rain and then rain through the weekend. I don't see anything to really trigger storms for Friday, and I don't think that front will be close enough to really influence our weather. Models also show that cold front pushing all the way through by Sunday and leaving us with much cooler and drier conditions, and I have a problem with this because this time of year, it's really hard for fronts to push through. For now, I'm gonna say that we will probably be dry through tomorrow and also Friday, and then a good chance of rain moves in for Saturday into Sunday. I'm also thinking that front will stall somewhere to the north of us, and if it does, then you can probably bet on a chance of rain throughout the beginning of next week.

The tropics are also quite calm now. There are no tropical systems currently out there, but there was a tropical wave moving across the Atlantic yesterday. That system has really died down today.

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