Storms Tomorrow?

Well, it was another active day for much of Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio as they had numerous reports of severe weather including about 17 reports of tornadoes.

Not a very big story around here.....just alot of heat and humidity. Right now it is 85 degrees with a dewpoint of 69 degrees, so it is already very hot and very humid. There's not really alot that's changed with the forecast, but the SPC has moved their slight risk zone of severe weather a good bit further north; now very little, if any, of Mississippi is in this zone. I'm not too surprised by this as the cold front is still forecast to stall in Tennessee, and most of the shower and storm activity will be along that front. This front will try to sink southward through our area tomorrow through Monday, and this is where the forecast seems to get a little tricky. It seems like the real determining factor for who really sees the rain is going to rest on how far east a ridge of high pressure in the southern U.S. will build. It looks like right now that the best places to see any kind of significant rainfall will be the eastern and northern portions of the state. The further south and west you go, the lesser the chance of any showers and storms from this system. The severe threat seems fairly small right now, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a few warnings issued. Again, the main threat will be hail and gusty winds and also dangerous lightning. I will leave you with something pretty interesting happening on one of the long-range models, and that is an area of low pressure showing up in the Gulf of Mexico by the end of next week. This area doesn't look too favorable for very much tropical development, but it will be interesting to watch.